Australian LNG strikes could mean higher UK prices

31st Aug 2023 | Mollie Pinnington | 3 minute read

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Potential strike action among gas producers in Australia has exerted upward pressure on energy prices in the UK. With a significant portion of the UK's gas supply imported from Australia, any disruption in the production process could result in a substantial increase in energy prices for UK consumers. This underscores the intertwined nature of global energy markets, where disturbances in one region can have far-reaching implications.

The Offshore Alliance, a trade union encompassing workers in Australia's offshore oil and gas industry, has disclosed an imminent threat of a strike at a critical Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) facility. This potential labour unrest poses a direct risk to the facility's output, which is integral to Australia's gas exports. If a strike were to occur, the disruption could magnify the ripple effects in global energy markets, exacerbating the existing pressure on UK energy prices.

The two facilities reportedly on the brink of labour unrest have a combined output that accounts for 10% of the global Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) capacity. This statistic illustrates the enormity of their contribution to the global energy supply chain and further highlights the potential scale of disruption in the event of a strike. The significant proportion of LNG these facilities produce underscores the potential global implications of such industrial action and further solidifies the concerns over potential energy price increases in the UK.

In light of these developments, benchmark prices have surged by approximately 10% across both the UK and EU. This considerable increase puts further strain on corporations, which are forced to bear the brunt of higher operational costs and, consequently, may need to adjust their pricing structures. Consumers, on the other hand, are facing the grim reality of more expensive energy bills, directly impacting their household budgets and ability to manage costs of living. Thus, the potential strike in Australia only adds to existing energy market tensions, exacerbating the financial pressure on all involved parties.

 

Why does the UK need LNG?

The reliance of the UK, and indeed many European countries, on Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) has grown significantly due to the geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Russia was previously a substantial contributor to Europe's natural gas supplies. However, during the ongoing conflict with Ukraine, Russia halted its gas exports, creating a supply vacuum that LNG has been instrumental in filling.

In this context, the European Union has had to pivot and increase its reliance on LNG to ensure a steady and reliable energy supply for its member states. This shift further reinforces the strategic importance of LNG in the global energy landscape, particularly in maintaining energy security in times of geopolitical strife. Therefore, any disruption in the LNG supply chain, such as the potential strikes in Australia, could have a profound impact on energy prices not only in the UK but across the entirety of Europe.

Australia, as a leading exporter of LNG, found itself in an unprecedented situation where its resources were in significantly higher demand due to geopolitical conflicts and supply challenges. The global dependence on Australia’s LNG facilities had never been more evident. However, ironically, the situation unfolded at a time when Australia itself was grappling with internal issues - the looming threat of a potential strike action within its LNG industry. The country was at a critical juncture, having to balance the skyrocketing global demand for its resources, while simultaneously dealing with the potential disruptions of its own production capacities. This precarious position underscored the complicated nature of the global energy market and the pressures faced by major exporters amidst mounting international demand.

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